Tag: markets

  • Red Cat and Unusual Machines

    Unpacking the Dilution-Hype Cycle, Rebranded Drones, and Massive Contract Overstatements

    Doomscroll Dispatch
    Doomscroll Dispatch
    Red Cat and Unusual Machines
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  • An Analytical Overview of the FTSE China 50 Index Constituents: Q4 2025

    Decoding the FTSE China 50

    The FTSE China 50 Index is a real-time, tradable benchmark designed to provide international investors with exposure to the largest and most liquid Chinese companies listed on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong (SEHK). Administered by FTSE Russell, the index comprises 50 constituents selected based on market value and liquidity, employing a transparent, rules-based methodology. To prevent over-concentration in any single entity, individual constituent weights are capped at 9% on a quarterly basis. This structure makes the index a critical tool for creating index-linked financial products, such as Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and derivatives, and serves as a key performance benchmark for global investors seeking access to the Chinese market through an established international exchange. This report provides a detailed profile of each of the 50 constituent companies, reflecting the index’s composition as of October 1, 2025. The list is current following the FTSE Russell Q3 2025 quarterly review, which concluded with no changes to the index’s membership.   

    Clarifying Index Composition: H-Shares, Red Chips, and P Chips

    A nuanced understanding of the FTSE China 50 requires a clear distinction between the types of share classes eligible for inclusion. Unlike indices focused on mainland-listed A-shares, the FTSE China 50 is composed exclusively of stocks traded on the SEHK, which fall into three specific categories designed for international investment. This composition is fundamental to the index’s role as a gateway for global capital into the Chinese economy.   

    • H Shares: These are securities of companies incorporated in the People’s Republic of China (PRC) but listed and traded on the Stock Exchange of Hong Kong. While subject to PRC corporate law, they are traded in Hong Kong Dollars and are freely accessible to international investors. This category typically includes China’s large, state-owned enterprises in foundational sectors like banking and energy. Examples within the index include Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) and Petrochina.   
    • Red Chips: These are companies incorporated outside of the PRC (often in jurisdictions like Hong Kong or the Cayman Islands) but traded on the SEHK. A company qualifies as a Red Chip if at least 30% of its shares are held by mainland state entities and at least 50% of its revenue or assets are derived from mainland China. This structure represents state-controlled interests operating through an international corporate framework. CITIC Limited is a prominent example in the index.   
    • P Chips: Similar to Red Chips, P Chip companies are incorporated outside the PRC and trade on the SEHK. The key distinction is ownership: a P Chip is controlled by private-sector Mainland China individuals or entities, not the state. The company must also derive at least 50% of its revenue or assets from mainland China. This category includes many of China’s most dynamic and globally recognized technology and consumer companies, such as Tencent Holdings and Alibaba Group.   
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  • The Textbook and the Black Hole

    Hearing a statement like, “Reducing interest rates increases inflation, dumb***,” is a perfect example of a textbook classic. It’s a solid rule for a straightforward game. The only issue is the assumption that we’re still playing that same simple game.

    This level of complexity might not even be new. It’s entirely possible that a layered reality, with a simple narrative for the public and a far more intricate one behind the scenes, has been the standard operating procedure for a long, long time.

    The very data used to form these opinions requires a massive leap of faith in its authenticity. As a show like “Rabbit Hole” on Paramount+ pointed out, deepfakes are not just about eroding trust; they are a tool for constructing a completely false reality to get a specific reaction. The fake TV broadcast in the opening scene that sets the whole story in motion is a perfect metaphor; what is presented as ‘the news’ or ‘market data’ could easily be a meticulously crafted illusion.

    This concept extends directly into the financial system itself. The problem of “fails to deliver” is not a simple clerical error; it’s the financial system’s version of a deepfake. Attempts to get the raw FTD data through Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests hit a black hole. The trail goes cold under the official reasoning that it’s proprietary “corporate” information, a designation that can make it more secret than classified documents. A mechanism like that being in place during the massive market convulsions and wealth transfers of the COVID era makes tracing what really happened almost impossible.

    Therefore, hearing a simple, clean economic rule is difficult to take at face value. In a world of systemic financial deception and deepfakes that can manufacture reality, claiming to know what’s really going on is a profoundly optimistic stance.

  • Abolish the BLS Jobs Report

    There’s a compelling argument that the government’s method of mass counting jobs serves to obscure, rather than clarify, the true composition of the labor force. The BLS itself acknowledges that its surveys likely include illegal aliens, as the system isn’t designed to identify their legal status. This aggregate approach allows for the convenient bundling of all workers, making it impossible to discern the number of jobs held by citizens versus non-citizens, including undocumented workers or those on temporary visas. A system of transparent, individual company reporting would bring immediate clarity. If companies were responsible for reporting their own hiring data, any significant reliance on non-citizen labor would be far more apparent, holding both the companies and policymakers accountable for the real-world effects of immigration and labor policies.

    The monthly BLS jobs report is an obsolete and harmful system that should be abolished. Its monthly release is a recurring trap for retail investors, who are systematically disadvantaged by high-frequency trading algorithms that instantly trade on the numbers before the public can react (you’re literally at work and they’re gaming you). This turns a supposedly transparent economic indicator into a tool for institutional players to profit from manufactured volatility.

    Furthermore, the data itself is often unreliable, with significant upward or downward revisions frequently undermining the accuracy of the initial reports that cause these market shocks.

    Fundamentally, a free country should not rely on the government to be the central arbiter of economic information. This mass counting of jobs is an overstep of its role. Instead, we should foster a system where companies report their own data, allowing for a more organic and less centralized flow of information. This would end the monthly market convulsions and restore a measure of fairness for the individual investor.

  • Just for Fun: Urgent Recommendation to the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC): Enhanced Specificity for Use of Proceeds Disclosures

    MEMORANDUM

    FOR: The Honorable Chair, U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

    Director, Division of Corporation Finance

    Director, Division of Enforcement

    FROM: [redacted]

    DATE: April 4, 2025

    SUBJECT: Urgent Recommendation: Enhanced Specificity for Use of Proceeds Disclosures

    1. Purpose: This memorandum recommends immediate action (rulemaking or interpretive guidance) to prohibit public companies from using vague terms like “other general corporate purposes” as the primary descriptor for the intended use of capital raised via registered direct offerings, private placements, or shelf registrations.

    2. Problem Statement & Background: Current Regulation S-K allows non-specific “general corporate purposes” disclosures. This flexibility is being exploited, contributing to significant retail investor harm. We’ve observed a troubling pattern, particularly acute during the Biden administration, where companies, especially in FDA-regulated sectors like biotech (e.g., Lucira Health, Cue Health) and other industries (e.g., Applied UV, Virgin Orbit, Rockley Photonics, Pacific Coast Oil Trust), raise substantial funds citing vague purposes shortly before collapsing into bankruptcy. This frequently results in devastating losses for individual investors (often $50,000+), while employees lose jobs.

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